Monday, September 9, 2013

A letter to an American friend about the CW attack in Syria



      Few days ago I received a letter from an American priest, a friend of mine who lives in Egypt for many years now asking me about the situation in Syria and the possibility that the Chemical Weapons attack was conducted by a radical Islamic group. After replying him I thought of publishing the two letters on my blog, as it has been a while since I wrote anything at all. So here you have it after some editing.

      Doug:
      The US is so divided on what to do if anything in Syria from "the person in the street, to the US Congress, to Obama and his Cabinet. A US journalist I studied Arabic with 20 years ago who has covered Iraq and I are afraid that it may be radical, rival opposition groups doing this to each other and to Syrians to bring the US into it as a way of getting military aid to bring Assad down. Would this be possible?
      These groups have much more to gain by using chemical weapons than Assad and the military. Assad and the military have all the conventional weapons they need to destroy and kill without using chemical weapons that would bring the US into this. Seriously, many of us do not know whether to support or oppose Obama.
      After the last two years in Egypt, allowing Islamic political parties the chance to govern Egypt, it was a disaster and most of us are happy that the military threw them out so long as there is a chance to elect a better government.
      Seriously, I would really like your view on what is happening in Syria and what you think Obama and the US should do. I am old enough to remember the Hungarian Revolt of 1956 when Eisenhower promised to back the rebels, only to do nothing. The revolt died and the Soviet Union controlled Hungary for another 35 years. God be with you and Syria. Doug

      My answer:
      Hi Doug, You are basing the analysis of the possibility of the radical islamist using chemical weapon to convoke military intervention on some false assumptions in my humble opinion: